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companies / NASDAQ

Advanced Micro Devices

AMDNASDAQ· USwww.amd.com

GPU + CPU designer. Owns the MI400/MI450 series spec, Pensando NIC/DPU silicon, and the Helios open-rack reference architecture.

近 30 天股價

$469.46+0.65%資料可能延遲

市值 $839.73B

價格警報

最新估值

$97.56-78.29%
DCF · 2026-05-14 · low

AMD full-company DCF using AMD 10-K FY2024 + Q1 2025 results, with MI400-series anchors applied as hard overrides on Data Center revenue in 2026 H2 (MI450: 50k units × $22k = ~$1.10B) and 2027 H1 (MI455X: 15k × $28k = ~$0.42B). Both anchors are flagged rumor-tier in the weilab DB. Base WACC ≈ 13.19% (Ke from CAPM rf 4.30% + β 1.65 × ERP 5.5%; debt weight only 2%). Terminal g = 3.0%. The model projects 5y revenue CAGR ~20% with Data Center leading (12.6B → ~47B by 2030), margin expansion from 49% → 59% gross and EBITDA margin landing ~38.5% terminal. Implied EV ~$157B, equity ~$160B, base implied share price $97.56. This is materially below the $449.44 reference, implying ~78% downside. The gap reflects (a) consensus pricing in 50%+ DC CAGR for many more years than our 5y window, and (b) WACC penalty from β 1.65. Confidence is low — the rumor-tier MI400 anchors only swing the model by ~$3–5/share, so the gap is structural (margin trajectory + terminal multiple), not anchor-driven. Sensitivity shows even the bullish corner (WACC 11.19%, g 4.0%) only reaches $135.97.

看歷史估值 →

在 BOM 上的位置

AMD Instinct MI400 Series · AMD Instinct MI4504 row
  • 1°Pensando Vulcano 800 AI NIC· 99%
  • 1°Pensando Salina 400 DPU· 99%
  • design_ownerMI450 GPU die· 99%
  • design_ownerEPYC Venice CPU· 99%
AMD Instinct MI400 Series · AMD Instinct MI455X (Helios Rack)5 row
  • 1°Pensando Vulcano 800 AI NIC· 99%
  • 1°Pensando Salina 400 DPU· 99%
  • design_ownerMI455X GPU die· 99%
  • design_ownerEPYC Venice CPU· 99%
  • design_ownerUALink scale-up fabric· 99%

題材歸屬

  • TGV 製程設備鏈 — 8 大步驟拆解,雷射 + 蝕刻是良率瓶頸最厚的商機hotTangential

    客戶端 — CoPoS 確認預訂;MI400 系列為下一代 packaging 載具

在 research 中被提到

  • MI455X Helios 機架——AMD 第一個正面對打 NVL72 的 rack-scale 系統

    ## 為什麼 Helios 是 AMD 的反擊起點 MI300X 雖然在 2024 拿到第一波 AI 訂單,但只是 8-GPU 單機方案,沒辦法跟 NVIDIA GB200 NVL72 那種 rack-scale 系統正面比。CES 2026 AMD 公開 Helios…

  • Google TPU v8 / v9 供應鏈拆解(Sunfish / Zebrafish 與第九代展望)

    … ASE / SPIL) - **Broadcom 15 萬片(15%)**——其中分給 Google TPU 的是 **8.5 萬片 TSMC + 0.5 萬片 ASE/SPIL**,分給 Meta 5 萬片、OpenAI 1 萬片 - AMD 10.5 萬片 - Amazon(透過 Alchip)5 萬片 - **MediaTek 為 Google 另外保留 2 萬片**(原本只有 1 萬片,因 v7e 需求翻倍上修)[Trendforce, 2025-12-15] 把…

  • 光聖科技 (6442.TWO):從光纖被動元件到 CPO 矽光子主動光源

    …PU 機架(hyperscaler scale-out)"] direction LR otherR[其他 NVL576] otherT[Google TPU] otherM[AMD MI 機架] end %% 唯一 accent:合聖 sub-tier 候選位 — 暖橘提示「未出貨」 classDef accent fill:#fef3e2,stroke:#c2410c,color:#7c2d…

財報 highlight

期別RevenueGross profitOperating incomeEPS毛利率營益率YoYQoQSource
2026Q2$11.54B$0——0.0%—+50.10%+12.51%yahoo-finance2
2026Q1$10.25B$0——0.0%——-0.17%yahoo-finance2
2025Q4$10.27B$0——0.0%——+11.08%yahoo-finance2
2025Q3$9.25B$0——0.0%———yahoo-finance2

法說 / IR events

尚未整理法說或 IR event。

競爭對手

尚未有競爭對手資料。

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新聞 timeline

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