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台積電

2330.TWTWSE· TWwww.tsmc.com

Sole foundry for Rubin (N3P process) and CoWoS-L packaging.

近 30 天股價

NT$2,510+4.15%

市值 NT$64.57兆

價格警報

最新估值

NT$1,850-17.96%
COMPS_EV_EBITDA · 2026-05-24 · medium

Foundry-peer EV/EBITDA comps. Peer set: UMC (2303.TW, ~9.2x), GFS (~9.6x), SMIC (0981.HK, ~13.7x), Samsung (005930.KS, ~9.6x conglomerate-level — foundry slice ~22x but consolidated as ~10x; kept with caveat). Intel excluded (IFS loss-making). Ex-Samsung clean median 9.6x; applied **15.0x** to reflect TSMC quasi-monopoly on leading-edge logic + CoWoS rationing — well above peer median, in line with market-implied multiple at spot TWD 2,255. CY26E EBITDA mid TWD 3,123B (~USD 95B), built top-down: revenue CAGR FY25→FY28 ≈ 21.5% on HPC mix expansion (51% → 70%) anchored to weilab supply-chain forecasts for Rubin nvl72/nvl144-cpx/nvl576, AMD MI450/MI455x, Google TPU v7p/v8i/v8t. EBITDA margin 67–68.5%, flattening on Fab 21 (Arizona) + Kumamoto D&A drag. Headline implied MID = TWD 1,850 → **-18% vs spot 2,255**. Honest comps read for a quasi-monopoly: any reasonable foundry-peer multiple under-prices TSMC. HIGH case (18x × high EBITDA) ≈ TWD 2,375 covers spot. Pair this with the same-day DCF if generated. xlsx: data/valuations/2026-05-24-2330-tw-2.xlsx (local-only, not in git). Peer spots: Samsung 005930.KS fresh from weilab stock_quotes 2026-05-22; UMC/GFS/SMIC flagged stale_estimate.

看歷史估值 →

在 BOM 上的位置

NVIDIA RTX Spark · RTX Spark Laptop (N1X)2 row
  • 1°N1X SoC — Blackwell GPU chiplet
  • secondaryN1X SoC — MediaTek CPU/IO chiplet
NVIDIA RTX Spark · RTX Spark Desktop (N1X)2 row
  • secondaryN1X SoC — MediaTek CPU/IO chiplet
  • 1°N1X SoC — Blackwell GPU chiplet
NVIDIA Vera Rubin · Vera Rubin NVL723 row
  • 1°Rubin GPU die· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-L interposer· 99%
  • 1°Vera CPU die· 99%
NVIDIA Vera Rubin · Vera Rubin NVL144 CPX3 row
  • 1°Rubin CPX GPU die· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-L interposer· 99%
  • 1°Vera CPU die· 99%
NVIDIA Vera Rubin · NVL576 Ultra3 row
  • 1°Rubin Ultra GPU die· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-L interposer· 99%
  • 1°Vera CPU die· 99%
AMD Instinct MI400 Series · AMD Instinct MI4503 row
  • 1°MI450 GPU die· 99%
  • 1°EPYC Venice CPU· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-L 3.5D interposer· 99%
AMD Instinct MI400 Series · AMD Instinct MI455X (Helios Rack)3 row
  • 1°MI455X GPU die· 99%
  • 1°EPYC Venice CPU· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-L 3.5D interposer· 99%
Google Tensor Processing Unit · TPU v7p Ironwood2 row
  • foundryGPU compute die· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-S· 99%
Google Tensor Processing Unit · TPU 8t (Sunfish, training)3 row
  • foundryGPU compute die· 99%
  • foundryI/O die· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-S· 99%
Google Tensor Processing Unit · TPU 8i (Zebrafish, inference)2 row
  • foundryCompute die· 99%
  • 1°CoWoS-S / EMIB· 99%

題材歸屬

  • AI PC — NVIDIA 用 RTX Spark / N1X 正式踏進 PC(MediaTek 2454 + TSMC 2330)hotPrimary

    TSMC 台積電 — N1X 以 3nm 投片;AI PC SoC(N1X / Ryzen AI / Snapdragon X)共同代工方

  • TGV 製程設備鏈 — 8 大步驟拆解,雷射 + 蝕刻是良率瓶頸最厚的商機hotPrimary

    CoPoS 主導者;2026-02 開始送設備到 R&D、2026-06 VisEra pilot line、2028-29 量產;NVIDIA + AMD 已預訂;Chiayi AP7 為 hub

  • TGV 玻璃基板題材 — Intel GCS 與 TSMC CoPoS 兩條獨立路線watchPrimary

    TSMC — CoPoS 主導者,2026-02 開始送設備到 R&D、2026-06 VisEra pilot line、2028-29 量產,NVIDIA + AMD 確認客戶;Chiayi 為 hub 整合 CoPoS / SoIC / WMCM

財報 highlight

期別Revenue (USD)EPS毛利率YoYSource
2026Q1$1134.10B—61.9%+35.10%yahoo-finance2
2025Q4$1046.09B———yahoo-finance2
2025Q3$989.92B———yahoo-finance2
2025Q2$933.79B———yahoo-finance2

競爭對手

  • Samsung Electronics005930.KS

    Samsung Foundry — 先進製程 (3nm/2nm) 主要對手

  • IntelINTC

    Intel Foundry (IFS) — 18A 製程 reclaim foundry 市場

相關公司

在 BOM 上跟該公司同列出現的廠商 — 可能是同層 supplier、補位 source、或客戶端,不一定是競爭關係。

  • 聯發科2454.TW
  • BroadcomAVGO
  • Advanced Micro DevicesAMD
  • NVIDIANVDA
  • 創意3443.TW

新聞 timeline

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    2026-06-20 · finance.yahoo.com

    Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (2330.TW) Stock Price, News, Quote & History - Yahoo Finance. * [Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/). + [Finance](https://finance.yahoo.com/). - [My portfolio](https://finance.yahoo.com/portfolios/). - [News](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/). - [Markets](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/). - [Community](https://finance.yahoo.com/community/). - [Videos](https://finance.yahoo.com/videos/). 1. [My Portfolio](https://finance.yahoo.com/portfolios/). 2. [News](https://finance.yahoo.com/news/). 4. [Stock market](https://finance.yahoo.com/topic/stock-market-news/). 6. [Crypto](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/crypto/). 1. [Economies](https://finance.yahoo.com/topic/economic-news/). 2. [Earnings](https://finance.yahoo.com/topic/earnings/). 3. [H

  • 台積電(2330.TW) 走勢圖 - Yahoo股市
    2026-06-20 · tw.stock.yahoo.com

    # Yahoo股市. # 台積電. 收盤 | 2026/06/18 14:30 更新. 32.40 (72.51)本益比 (同業平均). ## 台積電即時行情. 註:成交金額不含盤後定價、零股、鉅額、拍賣及標購. * 成交金額(億)1,114.67. ## 含有 台積電 的 ETF. ## 相關權證. 台股資料來源臺灣證券交易所、臺灣期貨交易所及財團法人中華民國證券櫃檯買賣中心,國際股市資料來源請參考 Yahoo Finance。使用Yahoo股市服務前,請您詳閱相關使用規範與聲明。.

  • 2330-TW: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co Ltd - Stock Price, Quote and News - CNBC
    2026-06-20 · cnbc.com

    * [Question if Intel deserves AMD-level valuation, says Wedbush Securities' Matt Bryson![CNBC Video](https://static-redesign.cnbcfm.com/dist/a6ce11e853fea2698510.svg)](https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/06/18/question-if-intel-deserves-amd-level-valuation-says-wedbush-securities-matt-bryson.html "Question if Intel deserves AMD-level valuation, says Wedbush Securities' Matt Bryson")CNBC.com. * [Under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, Intel's foundry problems have been solved, says Jim Cramer![CNBC Video](https://static-redesign.cnbcfm.com/dist/a6ce11e853fea2698510.svg)](https://www.cnbc.com/video/2026/06/17/under-ceo-lip-bu-tan-intels-foundry-problems-have-been-solved-says-jim-cramer.html "Under CEO Lip-Bu Tan, Intel's foundry problems have been solved, says Jim Cramer")CNBC.com. * [The stock you want to buy is

  • CMoney 股市爆料同學會 - 理財寶
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    # 台積電 2330. 市值(億) 618,485.4. ### 同學都在看. ### 熱門 ETF. ## 電子上游-IC-代工. ## 相關概念股. ## 五大持有 2330 的ETF/基金.

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